Ukraine’s recent drone and missile attacks on Russian targets highlight their strategic objective to hinder the Kremlin’s military logistics capabilities and draw attention to the consequences of the war for ordinary Russians.
Early Tuesday morning, a drone targeted a skyscraper in central Moscow, marking the second such incident in a span of approximately 48 hours. The attack resulted in damage to the building’s facade, shedding light on the vulnerability of the Russian capital. Russian authorities swiftly pointed fingers at Ukraine, holding them responsible for the drone strike.
The Russo-Ukraine war erupted in 2014 with two major components: the invasion of Crimea and the war in Donbass. This protracted conflict has caused immense human suffering, thousands of casualties, widespread destruction of infrastructure, and massive displacement of civilians. Despite several attempts to find a peaceful resolution, including the Minsk agreement, a lasting truce has remained elusive, and the situation continues to remain tense and unstable.
Ukraine’s Aim at Russia’s Black Sea Fleet
Since the onset of the war, one of Ukraine’s strategic objectives has been targeting Russia’s prized Black Sea Fleet. The Black Sea has played a crucial role throughout the conflict and has repeatedly been subject to attacks by Ukraine’s military since the annexation of Crimea. On a recent Friday, a Ropucha-class landing ship became the latest target of a drone strike, dealing a significant blow to Russia’s ongoing war ventures.
President Zelenski’s Warning
In response to the drone attacks inside Russian territory, Moscow has accused Kyiv of orchestrating them. President Volodymyr Zelenski issued a warning that war is making a comeback to Russia, and the extended reach of Kyiv’s drone fleet exemplifies this warning. The recent attack on the Russian port of Novorossiysk showcased the maritime drone prowess of Ukraine, as they successfully struck the Kerch Strait Bridge leading to Russian-occupied Crimea. Limited Progress and Complex Situation
While Ukraine has made some limited progress in recapturing certain regions, the situation remains complex. Presently, Russia controls almost 20% of Ukraine, including major cities like Donetsk and Mariupol, which they captured during extensive sieges. The ongoing conflict has created numerous challenges and uncertainties for both sides.
Russia’s Defensive Strategies
The Russian forces have worked diligently to fortify their positions, constructing an elaborate system of defenses along the 700-mile (1,125 km) frontlines. This system includes a triple layer of trenches, bunkers, concrete pyramid tank-traps (known as dragon’s teeth), and intricately laced landmines. Additionally, they have employed anti-tank measures, such as Western-supplied mine-clearing vehicles, stacked for increased impact. The Russian forces are also leveraging their air power with the deployment of the Ka-52 Alligator attack helicopters to impede Ukrainian armored vehicles.
Ukraine’s Counteroffensive and Western Support
Ukraine’s military forces have initiated attacks on three fronts, strategically assessing potential weak points with equipment and training support provided by Western sources. While they have managed to advance about 10 miles (16 km) in two distinct regions over two months, the pace of progress is not meeting the expectations of Ukraine and its Western allies. To bolster their counteroffensive, Ukraine has established twelve newly-formed armored brigades, equipped with advanced weaponry and received training in Europe.
Ukraine’s Drone Capabilities
Ukraine’s one-way unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have proven effective in limited-scale missions, showcasing the country’s emerging drone capabilities. While their systems may be considered basic compared to others, they have demonstrated high effectiveness for their intended motive.
Economic Resilience and Concerns
During the war, the Russian government’s aggressive spending has contributed to its economic resilience. Continued public support for the war has bolstered their efforts. However, concerns have been raised about the potential consequences of this spending binge on Russia’s financial stability. The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia continues to evolve, leaving the region uncertain and in a state of ongoing tension. Ukraine’s recent drone and missile attacks on Russian targets highlight their strategic objective to hinder the Kremlin’s military logistics capabilities and draw attention to the consequences of the war for ordinary Russians. As the situation remains complex, both sides continue to grapple for control, making the resolution of this conflict a challenging and pressing global concern.